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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [] Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
Aside from Fox News, Trafalgar had reported the most accurate poll in Virginia, predicting Glenn Youngkin would win by 2, which he did by 1.9. In New Jersey, Trafalgar had Phil Murphy winning the election but gave him the smallest margin of the polls, with only 4%, while Murphy won by 2.8%
Our model calculates an implied national popular vote based on estimated turnout in each state, and today that number is closer to Harris+4.2 than Harris's 2.9-point lead in national polls.
September 19, 2024 at 5:51 PM. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are locked in a close race with seven weeks left. A slew of new national and swing-state polls have come out in the past 24 hours ...
The U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled that efforts by the state of Colorado along with Maine to remove former President Donald Trump from the ballot per the Fourteenth Amendment of the United States Constitution were unconstitutional. North Dakota caucus held. March 1–3, 2024. District of Columbia primary held.
In the last two weeks, polls have shown a clear lead for Stein. A poll released on Sept. 7 by Survey USA and sponsored by WRAL-TV in Raleigh had Stein up by 14 percentage points.
September 19, 2024. ^ abcdef "Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Harris Ahead In 2 Key Battleground States, 3rd State Up For Grabs, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Democrats Have Leads In All 3 States". Quinnipiac University Poll.
Here is what the polls and odds are saying as we head into Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 5. ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.0% to Trump at 43.7%. 270towin shows ...